Space forces - armies of the future
This is a site
dedicated entirely to the long-term future of space forces. The reference timeframe is
starting 50 years from now - around 2050 - and stops 150 years into the future
- roughly at the middle of the 23rd century.
While based on past
and current developments in the space-related military organizations and
aerospace industry around the world this is not intended in any way to address
short and medium term perspective. More clearly this is in no way intended to
have the immediacy and urgency of happening-tomorrow of the real world but is
not in any way a fantasy or Sci-Fi site being a highly speculative site about
the long-term future of the military space forces. As such this is is a site
for the enthusiasts of space, strategy, military technology and deep future,
not in the fantasy land of the next thousands of years that are almost impenetrable
but to the very limit and slightly beyond of what is already visible about the
closer future, from what history is teaching and the present is already showing.
A couple of fundamental assumptions/principles for this projection
1. Space expansion
is highly likely to happen on a massive scale on long term. In the next 50 to
150 years massive expansion in space will became a (geo)political, economic,
scientific, technological and cultural reality.
2. Conflicts and
war will be a part of the space expansion process. They are still a significant
part of the current human paradigm and will be most likely for the next couple
of centuries. Everybody hopes for long lasting peace but the historical reality
of humankind was always different. While we want to remain optimistic about the
future and see only international cooperation and harmony, this is exclusively
focusing on the contrarian hypothesis: the possibility of conflict and war in
space will trigger a vast long-term development of space armed forces of all
major powers /nations.
3. While no
self-respectable expert would venture projections on technology, strategy and
policy on longer periods than 30 years, there is always the example of
extraordinary visionaries like Jules Verne that described with 120 years before
the main principles and the technology behind sending people to Moon, or Isaac
Asimov that realized with more than half a century the importance and evolution
of robotics. This is a vision about an undesirable but definitely posible
future that will see a continuation of a considerable military structure in
space.
Purpose of this blog
Based on these
assumptions the main purpose of this site can be defined as an attempt to
prevision and extrapolate what it is possible and even probable in the next
half to a couple of centuries in the area of space forces based on existing
realities, without getting lost in useless details or endless debates, and not
by getting in an entirely fantastic (utopian) construct but rather in a
convincing manner about a possible future reality with similarities and roots
in the current reality.
Questions that the
site is focusing on
1. What type of
technologies is more likely to rise in half a century for military use in space
such as propulsion, weapons, communications, life-sustaining systems, robots,
automatisation, communications, energy sources, Artificial Intelligence?
2. What type of structure,
concepts, doctrines, terminology will space forces have, e.g. space marines,
space interceptors, outposts, bases?
3. What type of
strategic concepts and areas will emerge for space: Earth proximity (orbits),
Moon, Mars, other areas of interest, lines of communications?
4. What countries,
alliances where most likely to have space forces? What type of profile,
doctrine, strategy, structure will these forces have based on current reality
and recent past (modern history)?
5. What kind of
scenarios can be imagined for possible conflict? What will constitute triggers
and what kind of strategies and tactics can be imagined based on the
hypothetical profiles of the countries or alliances involved?
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